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Minnesota Wild v Dallas Stars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Minnesota Wild (Local)
Prediction 44.78%2.23fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%44.86%44.73%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.132.152.1950.76%47.01%46.51%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Stars (Visit)
Prediction 55.22%1.81fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%55.14%55.27%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.741.7963.29%57.75%57.47%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Wild (Local): 44.78%; Dallas Stars (Visit): 55.22%. For Dallas Stars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.93%E -0.880%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.93%E -0.880%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 19:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.38%E -1.09%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.27%E -1.51%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.47%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.27%E -1.51%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.47%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.16%E -0.648%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 18:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 16:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.47%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 16:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.47%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.58%E -3.26%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.72%E -1.73%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.68%E -3.95%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 19:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.17%E -1.95%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.03%E -2.92%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.06%E -2.39%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -5.51%E -2.61%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 16:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.26%E -1.28%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.47%E -2.59%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.96%E -2.84%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.13%E -3.61%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.37%E -1.92%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.20%E -4.00%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.92%E -2.25%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 20:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -11.78%E -5.98%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.49%EV -12.76%E -8.07%K -21.99%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 18:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 0.5% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 19:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 1.9% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82% | 2.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.8% | 2026-03-21 17:24 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.76% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.03% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.26% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.71% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 19:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.32% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 18:54 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.63% | 14.8% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |