The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Los Angeles Kings v Vegas Golden Knights

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 03:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prediction 61.67%1.62fair odd
EV -0.093%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.150%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.88%61.78%61.58%63.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.551.551.6268.97%64.43%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vegas Golden Knights (Visit)

Prediction 38.33%2.61fair odd
EV -0.345%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.67%38.22%38.42%41.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.462.6044.44%40.37%40.65%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 61.67%; Vegas Golden Knights (Visit): 38.33%. For Los Angeles Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.622. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.620, with an expected value of -0.093%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.093%E -0.057%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -11.08%E -4.77%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 03:10
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.33%E -0.829%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 03:10
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.33%E -0.829%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.56%E -1.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.18%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.26%E -0.887%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-26 03:06
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.18%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 03:06
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.18%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 03:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.18%E -2.02%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.78%E -3.69%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-26 03:09
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -0.728%E -0.281%K -0.458%G +0.000%2.7%2026-02-26 03:06
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.26%E -0.887%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 03:06
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:06
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-26 03:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.79%E -2.43%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 03:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -0.728%E -0.281%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 03:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -0.728%E -0.281%K -0.458%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -1.11%E -0.431%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.18%E -1.67%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 03:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -5.71%E -2.32%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-26 03:01
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 03:04
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 03:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 03:08
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:09
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.41%E -2.84%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.01%E -3.34%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 03:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.345%E -0.133%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 03:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.345%E -0.133%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 03:09
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 02:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.64%E -3.69%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.09%E -2.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-26 02:59
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -6.26%E -4.12%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -0.345%E -0.133%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 03:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -7.49%E -5.00%K -14.99%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -0.728%E -0.281%K -0.458%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 03:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -10.58%E -7.29%K -23.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -13.76%E -6.12%K -11.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-02-26 03:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.35%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.65%0.2%2026-02-26 02:59
ProphetX◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-02-26 03:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-02-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%2.5%2026-02-26 03:10
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-02-26 03:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%3.6%2026-02-26 03:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-02-26 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-02-26 03:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-02-26 03:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.86%2.9%2026-02-26 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08%4.1%2026-02-26 03:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.55%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%4.6%2026-02-26 02:59
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.7%2026-02-26 02:59
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.26%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%5.7%2026-02-26 03:10
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%6.0%2026-02-26 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%6.0%2026-02-26 03:10
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%6.0%2026-02-26 03:09
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.44%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%6.5%2026-02-26 03:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-02-26 03:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-02-26 03:10
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%7.2%2026-02-26 03:09
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%7.4%2026-02-26 03:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%8.2%2026-02-26 03:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%9.2%2026-02-26 03:01
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%9.8%2026-02-26 02:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%10.3%2026-02-26 03:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%10.9%2026-02-26 03:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-02-26 03:10