Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Kings v Florida Panthers

Kickoff: 2026-10-07 02:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prediction 47.33%2.11fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.31%47.40%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.002.002.0551.55%49.97%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida Panthers (Visit)

Prediction 52.67%1.90fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%52.69%52.60%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8357.14%55.57%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 47.33%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 52.67%. For Los Angeles Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -2.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 17:05
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 13:20
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.96%E -1.45%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 22:40
Bet Right🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.27%EV -3.91%E -1.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-04 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 14:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 14:15
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.15%E -2.28%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-04 21:55
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 22:20
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.68%E -2.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-04 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 02:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 02:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.33%E -2.67%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 07:15
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 03:38
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.70%E -3.95%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.84%E -4.48%K -10.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-05 03:39
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.17%E -4.21%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-05 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%-0.0%2026-10-05 14:20
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-04 15:55
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-10-05 12:50
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 47.66%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%10.4%2026-10-05 14:16

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.05%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.92%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.03%3.1%2026-10-04 22:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%4.8%2026-10-04 21:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%6.3%2026-10-05 14:16
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%6.9%2026-10-05 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%6.9%2026-10-05 14:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.99%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%9.0%2026-10-05 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%9.8%2026-10-05 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.19%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.30%17.6%2026-10-05 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.56%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.02%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%18.9%2026-10-05 14:16