A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Kings v Edmonton Oilers

Início: 2026-04-11 20:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Previsão 51.53%1.94odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.821%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.56%51.58%52.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.851.851.9159.52%54.12%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Edmonton Oilers (Visitante)

Previsão 48.47%2.06odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.40%48.44%48.42%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.971.962.0254.64%50.82%50.89%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:00
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:00
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:59
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 19:59
ReBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.08%E -1.10%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 19:59
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -2.60%E -1.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -2.58%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-11 20:00
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Everygame1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.15%E -2.23%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 20:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:00
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 19:56
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:00
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:00
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 20:00
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 19:59
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.18%E -2.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 19:59
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.18%E -2.81%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 20:00
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:00
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 20:00
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 20:00
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 19:57
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.42%E -7.99%K -19.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.62%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 19:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-04-11 20:00
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-04-11 19:57
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-11 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-04-11 20:00

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-11 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-11 20:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%3.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%4.6%2026-04-11 19:59
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12%4.9%2026-04-11 19:59
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18%5.2%2026-04-11 19:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-04-11 20:00
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-04-11 20:00
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-04-11 20:00
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.4%2026-04-11 20:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%6.9%2026-04-11 19:59
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-04-11 20:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-04-11 20:00
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%8.1%2026-04-11 20:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%8.6%2026-04-11 20:00
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.77%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%8.8%2026-04-11 20:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-04-11 20:00
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 41.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%12.4%2026-04-11 20:00