L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.91
avec la cote maximale 2.02
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.57%E -0.821%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.43%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| ReBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -2.08%E -1.10%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.54%EV -2.60%E -1.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.46%EV -2.58%E -1.29%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Everygame | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.63%E -1.94%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.15%E -2.23%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Bovada | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -4.52%E -2.30%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 19:56 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.66%E -2.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Betsson | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.18%E -2.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.18%E -2.81%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.01%E -2.56%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.55%E -1.79%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Fliff | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.69%E -3.11%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.49%E -2.82%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.10%E -1.04%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.21%E -3.41%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.07%E -1.53%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 19:57 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.14%EV -13.42%E -7.99%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.86%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| BetOpenly | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 19:57 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Novig | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.44% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.17% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.34% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.73% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.80% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.18% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.91% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 19:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.18% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.77% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.18% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.30% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 20:00 |