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Los Angeles Kings v Buffalo Sabres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Kings (Local)
Prediction 45.93%2.18fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.577%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.03%45.97%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.072.082.1552.36%48.40%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Buffalo Sabres (Visit)
Prediction 54.07%1.85fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.97%54.03%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.771.771.8161.35%56.46%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 45.93%; Buffalo Sabres (Visit): 54.07%. For Los Angeles Kings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.24%E -0.577%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.93%E -3.41%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.62%E -1.24%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.14%E -1.18%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.22%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.90%EV -3.08%E -1.46%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.10%EV -3.22%E -1.80%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 17:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 12:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.54%E -1.68%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.00%E -1.91%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.38%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-21 19:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.46%E -2.14%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.46%E -2.14%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.46%E -2.14%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.76%E -2.11%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.46%E -2.14%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.92%E -2.37%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.84%E -2.75%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.83%E -2.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.38%E -3.08%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.30%E -2.43%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.13%E -4.07%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.43%E -5.35%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.68%E -1.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 20:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.05%EV -12.27%E -6.42%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.95%EV -11.87%E -7.28%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 19:44 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44% | 2.3% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.47% | 3.5% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.75% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.37% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.74% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.22% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 19:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.04% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.25% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 20:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95% | 8.9% | 2026-03-21 19:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.11% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.35% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.54% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 19:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.72% | 14.9% | 2026-03-21 20:05 |