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Florida Panthers v Toronto Maple Leafs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Florida Panthers (Local)
Prediction 59.07%1.69fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.15%59.05%61.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.611.621.6767.57%62.01%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit)
Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.445%
Kelly +0.748%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.40%40.85%40.95%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.352.4746.08%42.69%42.55%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Panthers (Local): 59.07%; Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit): 40.93%. For Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -9.03%E -5.87%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV +1.10%E +0.445%K +0.748%G +0.008% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -9.03%E -5.87%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV +1.10%E +0.445%K +0.748%G +0.008% | 5.4% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -0.128%E -0.052%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-02-27 00:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -0.947%E -0.391%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.44%E -5.45%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.77%E -0.736%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.26%E -4.63%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.99%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -3.13%E -1.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 00:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 00:06 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.72%E -2.28%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.81%E -1.62%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 00:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.72%E -2.28%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.22%E -1.80%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.63%E -1.99%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.35%E -0.811%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.31%E -2.66%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.90%E -3.04%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.49%E -3.43%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.08%E -3.82%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.86%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.68%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -2.54%E -1.54%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -6.68%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.13%E -1.91%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.68%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 23:56 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.45%EV -12.58%E -8.50%K -26.20%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.55%EV -11.18%E -5.15%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-26 23:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-02-26 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80% | 2.5% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.82% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.88% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.36% | 2.8% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.54% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 00:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56% | 7.9% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.89% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21% | 9.8% | 2026-02-27 00:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97% | 10.2% | 2026-02-27 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47% | 11.0% | 2026-02-27 00:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.53% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.44% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 00:07 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.11% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27% | 16.6% | 2026-02-27 00:09 |