The School of Odds
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Florida Panthers v Seattle Kraken

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 22:09 UTC

Final: Florida Panthers 8–3 Seattle Kraken

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prediction 62.91%1.59fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%62.96%62.94%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.521.5670.42%66.12%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Kraken (Visit)

Prediction 37.09%2.70fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +0.728%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%37.04%37.06%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.582.592.7540.82%38.79%38.61%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Panthers (Local): 62.91%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 37.09%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.41%E -6.54%K -21.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.00%E +0.728%K +1.14%G +0.023%5.8%2026-10-17 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -0.595%E -0.222%K -0.354%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-17 20:40
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.71%E -0.644%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 21:45
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.52%E -5.12%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -1.71%E -0.644%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.78%E -6.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.71%E -0.644%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 22:04
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 17:10
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -2.45%E -0.931%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 17:09
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.78%E -6.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:03
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -8.78%E -6.06%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:02
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.49%E -1.61%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-17 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.49%E -1.61%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-17 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:20
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 21:40
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-17 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.38%E -2.88%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 21:45
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.64%E -3.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:04
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.64%E -3.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.56%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.38%E -2.88%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 21:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.30%E -1.67%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:05
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -4.67%E -1.82%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -5.01%E -3.32%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -5.05%E -1.97%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 21:50
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.86%E -1.19%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-17 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.12%E -2.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 22:05
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.12%E -2.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 20:45
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.38%E -2.88%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.64%E -3.76%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.42%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.12%E -2.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -5.79%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-16 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 16:34
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-16 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.75%E -2.45%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 11:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -10.67%E -7.51%K -25.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.13%E -3.72%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-10-17 21:59
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-10-17 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-17 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-17 22:05
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-17 22:05
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-17 21:55
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-17 22:00
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-16 15:15
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-10-17 22:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.21%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%1.7%2026-10-17 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%3.2%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%3.2%2026-10-17 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%3.2%2026-10-17 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.09%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.7%2026-10-17 22:00
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.35%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13%4.7%2026-10-17 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%4.9%2026-10-17 22:05
Unibet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-10-17 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-10-17 17:10
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%5.6%2026-10-17 17:10
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-10-17 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%6.5%2026-10-17 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-10-17 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.61%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.08%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%7.0%2026-10-17 22:05
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-10-17 22:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-10-17 21:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%8.9%2026-10-17 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%10.5%2026-10-17 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%11.8%2026-10-17 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%15.0%2026-10-17 21:50