La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV +0.984%E +0.455%K +0.848%G +0.008% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betsson | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.03%E -3.00%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.426%E -0.228%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.11%E -6.44%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.4% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.28% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.06% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.03% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.79% | 10.6% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08% | 11.1% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.65% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |