L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.16
avec la cote maximale 1.87
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV +0.984%E +0.455%K +0.848%G +0.008% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.82%E -0.867%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.69%E -1.79%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| GTbets | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.16%E -2.03%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ReBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Betsson | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.09%E -2.51%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.69%E -2.62%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.56%E -2.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.22%E -2.93%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.03%E -3.00%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.62%E -2.00%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.56%E -1.40%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.15%E -2.31%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.50%E -3.25%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.75%E -3.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 23:03 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -9.30%E -4.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -0.426%E -0.228%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 22:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.11%E -6.44%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.26%EV -12.14%E -7.36%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-12 22:58 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81% | 2.4% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.28% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.35% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37% | 4.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.06% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.03% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.96% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.40% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57% | 8.1% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betway | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01% | 8.7% | 2026-03-12 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.02% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 23:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.58% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81% | 9.2% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.79% | 10.6% | 2026-03-12 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08% | 11.1% | 2026-03-12 23:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.65% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46% | 13.7% | 2026-03-12 23:05 |