L’École des cotes

Edmonton Oilers v Vancouver Canucks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 01:00 UTC

Score final : Edmonton Oilers 6–1 Vancouver Canucks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prévision 74.48%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.69%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -5.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.34%74.36%74.46%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.291.291.3284.75%77.77%77.52%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vancouver Canucks (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.52%3.92cote équitable
EV +2.09%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +0.695%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.64%25.54%27.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.754.0029.41%26.94%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014%3.7%2026-04-17 00:54
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014%4.4%2026-04-17 00:53
Paddy Power1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014%4.4%2026-04-17 00:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014%4.4%2026-04-17 00:55
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.90%E -5.52%K -27.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014%5.0%2026-04-17 00:54
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.74%E -0.453%K -0.611%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 00:55
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -2.43%E -1.86%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-17 00:15
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 00:19
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 23:54
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 00:49
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 00:19
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 00:44
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 23:54
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.864%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 23:54
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.864%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 23:55
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 00:44
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 23:54
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 23:25
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 00:44
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 00:19
BetUS1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 23:54
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 23:54
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 21:14
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 00:23
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 23:54
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 23:54
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.40%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:15
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.40%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 00:15
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.40%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 23:54
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.69%E -1.28%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:29
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.69%E -1.28%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:15
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.69%E -1.28%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 16:30
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 18:01
NetBet (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.51%EV -12.12%E -10.27%K -67.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 00:54
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 00:48
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 76.44%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.56%-0.1%2026-04-17 00:53
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-04-17 00:50
ProphetX1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-17 00:54
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-17 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-17 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%0.8%2026-04-17 00:49
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-04-16 18:25
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-04-17 00:50

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%3.2%2026-04-16 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%3.2%2026-04-16 16:15
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%3.2%2026-04-16 20:04
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%3.2%2026-04-16 16:29
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.56%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.56%4.6%2026-04-16 23:40
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.21%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.57%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.22%4.8%2026-04-17 00:54
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%5.1%2026-04-16 23:44
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%5.3%2026-04-16 22:14
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%5.3%2026-04-16 22:14
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%5.3%2026-04-16 22:14
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%5.3%2026-04-16 22:14
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%6.2%2026-04-16 16:15
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-04-16 23:44
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%7.7%2026-04-16 23:39
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%7.9%2026-04-17 00:49
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%8.2%2026-04-17 00:19
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%8.3%2026-04-16 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%8.5%2026-04-17 00:19
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%9.0%2026-04-17 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%10.0%2026-04-17 00:36
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%12.4%2026-04-16 16:15