La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Caesars | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 00:53 |
| Paddy Power | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.16%E -4.89%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.90%E -5.52%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.09%E +0.521%K +0.695%G +0.014% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.74%E -0.453%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 00:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -2.43%E -1.86%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 00:15 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.864%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.46%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.864%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-16 23:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| GTbets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 23:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 00:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.41%E -4.26%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.29%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| BetUS | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.57%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 21:14 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.85%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 00:23 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.92%E -3.04%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Neds | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.67%E -3.65%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.40%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.40%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 00:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -9.40%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.69%E -1.28%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.69%E -1.28%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.69%E -1.28%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 18:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.51%EV -12.12%E -10.27%K -67.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 00:48 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.18%E -2.44%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 21:34 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.44% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.56% | -0.1% | 2026-04-17 00:53 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 00:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Polymarket | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 00:50 |
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 20:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.32% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.56% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.56% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 23:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.21% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.57% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.22% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 00:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 22:14 |
| Casumo | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.34% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.81% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 23:44 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 23:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.89% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.67% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.12% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.84% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 00:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 00:36 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11% | 12.4% | 2026-04-16 16:15 |