Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers v Vancouver Canucks

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 02:12 UTC

Final: Edmonton Oilers 5–6 Vancouver Canucks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 72.41%1.38fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -8.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.48%72.48%72.33%73.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.311.3480.00%76.10%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vancouver Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +0.706%
Kelly +0.966%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 3.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.04%27.52%27.67%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.463.453.7231.25%28.88%28.99%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 72.41%; Vancouver Canucks (Visit): 27.59%. For Vancouver Canucks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +2.63%E +0.706%K +0.966%G +0.025%3.2%2026-09-30 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.96%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.04%EV +2.63%E +0.706%K +0.966%G +0.025%3.2%2026-09-30 02:05
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV +0.144%E +0.040%K +0.055%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-30 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.683%E -0.190%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 02:04
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.683%E -0.190%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 01:10
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.683%E -0.190%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.683%E -0.190%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 02:04
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.683%E -0.190%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 02:04
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.683%E -0.190%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 00:20
Everygame🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.06%E -0.581%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-29 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 20:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-29 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.44%E -0.983%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -4.27%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 20:39
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 01:50
Caesars🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 23:15
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 20:39
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 01:25
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.82%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 02:05
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.97%E -2.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-30 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.20%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-28 21:15
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -6.75%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.42%E -3.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -6.75%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 01:50
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-29 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.69%E -2.78%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-30 02:00
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 01:49
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.86%E -4.51%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-30 01:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.22%EV -9.48%E -7.59%K -37.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-30 01:44
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.97%E -2.21%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.14%E -3.92%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%0.6%2026-09-30 02:10
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-29 17:55
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-09-29 22:20
BetOpenly◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-30 01:40
ProphetX◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-09-30 02:10
Matchbook◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%3.2%2026-09-30 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-09-30 02:10
Smarkets◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-09-30 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 77.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 22.15%27.2%2026-09-30 02:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%3.3%2026-09-30 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%3.3%2026-09-30 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%3.3%2026-09-30 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.68%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.39%3.3%2026-09-30 01:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.22%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%4.7%2026-09-29 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%4.7%2026-09-30 00:19
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.52%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.82%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.66%4.9%2026-09-30 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%5.0%2026-09-30 02:05
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%5.3%2026-09-30 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%5.3%2026-09-30 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%5.3%2026-09-30 02:00
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.21%5.3%2026-09-30 02:00
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.47%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%6.3%2026-09-30 02:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-09-30 01:45
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%7.4%2026-09-30 02:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%8.8%2026-09-30 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%8.9%2026-09-30 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%9.4%2026-09-30 02:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.04%12.1%2026-09-30 02:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%12.6%2026-09-30 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.64%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%13.3%2026-09-30 01:50