The School of Odds
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Edmonton Oilers v Utah Mammoth

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 01:08 UTC

Final: Edmonton Oilers 2–4 Utah Mammoth

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV +0.519%
Edge +0.249%
Kelly +0.480%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%48.31%48.30%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.952.0854.05%50.72%51.28%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Mammoth (Visit)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -0.270%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.290%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%51.69%51.70%54.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.851.9357.80%54.25%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 48.33%; Utah Mammoth (Visit): 51.67%. For Edmonton Oilers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.519%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV +0.519%E +0.249%K +0.480%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 01:05
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 00:54
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.033%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -9.57%E -5.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-16 00:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.931%E -0.454%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.54%E -4.82%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-16 00:35
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.38%E -1.18%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-16 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -2.86%E -1.43%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 01:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 00:30
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.35%E -1.67%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 01:00
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.31%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.31%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.80%E -2.44%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.80%E -2.44%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.92%E -2.67%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.28%E -2.69%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 00:54
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -2.34%E -1.24%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-16 00:49
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.85%E -1.52%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-16 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 00:19
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 00:55
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 20:25
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 19:19
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:40
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 00:58
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 01:00
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.37%E -1.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.40%E -2.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 22:14
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-16 00:30
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 00:49
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 00:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 01:00
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.30%E -0.682%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -8.66%E -4.58%K -9.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -0.270%E -0.140%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 21:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.60%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-16 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-10-16 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-10-16 01:05
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-10-16 01:05
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-16 01:00
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.26%1.1%2026-10-16 01:05
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-10-15 18:45
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-10-16 01:05
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40%1.9%2026-10-16 01:05
BetOpenly◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-10-16 00:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.71%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-10-16 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-10-16 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-10-16 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.94%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.82%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%3.4%2026-10-16 01:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.90%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%4.5%2026-10-16 00:59
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.25%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.51%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.6%2026-10-15 20:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-10-16 01:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-10-16 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-10-16 01:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-10-16 01:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.24%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%5.3%2026-10-16 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.71%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%6.1%2026-10-16 01:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81%6.6%2026-10-15 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.82%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.49%7.0%2026-10-16 01:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-10-16 01:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.07%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%9.0%2026-10-16 00:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.42%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-10-16 01:00
picklebet_au🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%10.3%2026-10-16 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%11.5%2026-10-16 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.32%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.75%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.93%12.6%2026-10-16 01:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%14.9%2026-10-16 00:50