Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 64.27%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 35.73%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -1.66%E -1.09%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -4.60%E -1.72%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.31%E -1.52%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.95%E -1.95%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.95%E -1.95%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -2.95%E -1.95%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.39%E -0.503%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.79%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.21%EV -1.39%E -0.503%K -0.789%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 20:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 21:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 16:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 11:52 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -5.68%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 18:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -7.46%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -7.46%E -2.88%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.59%E -2.40%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.89%E -3.49%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.24%E -2.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.24%E -2.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.24%E -2.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 20:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.24%E -2.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.24%E -2.84%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.03%E -2.29%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.75%E -0.635%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.53%E -1.31%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.32%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -6.39%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.88%E -3.30%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.81%E -4.69%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 22:56 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.81%E -4.69%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.11%E -2.73%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.02%E -7.16%K -25.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.68%E -4.27%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-03 22:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 34.16% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.20% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.25% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.19% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.83% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.99% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.44% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.58% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.98% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.88% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 21:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.21% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.47% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32% | 11.9% | 2026-10-03 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18% | 12.7% | 2026-10-03 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.44% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02% | 13.5% | 2026-10-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86% | 14.4% | 2026-10-03 22:49 |