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Edmonton Oilers v Seattle Kraken
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Edmonton Oilers (Local)
Prediction 62.36%1.60fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%62.44%62.42%64.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.541.541.5770.92%65.08%64.72%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Kraken (Visit)
Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV -0.242%
Edge -0.091%
Kelly -0.147%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.99%37.56%37.58%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.542.552.6542.55%39.35%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 62.36%; Seattle Kraken (Visit): 37.64%. For Seattle Kraken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.242%; they did not produce positive expected value.
15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.10%E -1.34%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 00:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.12%E -0.817%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-01 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -3.63%E -1.42%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-31 23:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-01 00:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.73%E -1.75%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.76%E -1.88%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.35%E -2.16%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.97%E -2.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.38%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.12%E -0.817%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 00:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.01%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.60%E -3.00%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.14%E -2.04%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.84%E -3.87%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.37%E -0.523%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.242%E -0.091%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.47%E -4.31%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.242%E -0.091%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -7.09%E -4.76%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.242%E -0.091%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.08%E -8.57%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.54%E -4.91%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-04-01 00:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-01 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 01:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.27% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.26% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.74% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 00:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.58% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57% | 6.6% | 2026-04-01 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64% | 7.5% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.28% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 00:59 |