The School of Odds
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Edmonton Oilers v Minnesota Wild

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 01:09 UTC

Final: Edmonton Oilers 4–3 Minnesota Wild

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 53.11%1.88fair odd
EV -0.153%
Edge -0.081%
Kelly -0.173%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.92%53.10%53.25%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.791.801.8859.52%55.73%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Wild (Visit)

Prediction 46.89%2.13fair odd
EV -0.594%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%46.90%46.75%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.042.1251.81%49.18%49.02%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 53.11%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 46.89%. For Edmonton Oilers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.883. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.880, with an expected value of -0.153%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -0.153%E -0.081%K -0.173%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-21 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.75%E -0.944%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.75%E -0.944%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 00:45
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.81%E -1.53%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 00:40
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.28%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 01:05
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.34%E -1.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 01:05
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 01:05
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.87%E -2.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-21 01:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 00:55
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:55
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:00
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 00:55
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 01:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:55
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:55
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.57%E -4.39%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-21 01:04
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-21 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.34%E -2.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.93%E -2.76%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.81%E -2.37%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 01:00
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.28%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.46%E -3.07%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.28%E -2.62%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 01:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.99%E -3.39%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 01:05
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.594%E -0.280%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 22:10
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.594%E -0.280%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 22:10
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.594%E -0.280%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 22:45
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.22%E -3.11%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-21 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.77%E -6.41%K -15.85%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -9.50%E -4.92%K -10.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-21 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.92I 52.08%NM 52.00%2.08I 48.08%NM 48.00%0.2%2026-10-21 01:00
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-10-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-10-21 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-10-21 01:05
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-10-21 01:05
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-10-21 01:05
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-21 00:30
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-10-21 01:05
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-10-21 00:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.83%1.8%2026-10-20 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-10-20 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-10-20 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-10-20 22:10
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.60%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.10%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.30%4.5%2026-10-21 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-10-21 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-10-20 22:10
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-10-20 22:10
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.11%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%5.5%2026-10-20 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%5.5%2026-10-21 01:00
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-10-20 22:10
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%6.1%2026-10-20 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.60%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-10-21 00:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%6.9%2026-10-21 01:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%7.9%2026-10-21 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-10-21 01:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.68%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-10-21 01:00
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.49%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%9.8%2026-10-21 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%11.7%2026-10-21 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%12.2%2026-10-21 01:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%14.8%2026-10-21 00:55