The School of Odds
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Edmonton Oilers v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 01:38 UTC

Final: Edmonton Oilers 3–4 Detroit Red Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 60.99%1.64fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.737%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.50%61.03%60.96%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.571.571.6268.03%63.81%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +0.888%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.97%39.04%40.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.442.452.6043.10%40.92%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 60.99%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 39.01%. For Detroit Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +1.42%E +0.547%K +0.888%G +0.013%3.8%2026-10-26 22:01
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +1.42%E +0.547%K +0.888%G +0.013%3.8%2026-10-26 22:00
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +1.42%E +0.547%K +0.888%G +0.013%3.8%2026-10-26 22:01
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%EV -2.41%E -1.51%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-27 01:30
Everygame🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.02%E -1.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-26 18:57
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 23:35
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-27 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 23:50
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.48%E -0.992%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 01:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-26 19:14
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-26 22:15
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.04%E -1.64%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-26 22:15
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.02%E -1.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 01:37
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 01:37
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 01:37
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-27 01:37
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-27 00:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-26 18:00
Caesars🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.43%E -1.81%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 01:37
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.19%E -0.737%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 01:37
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.19%E -0.737%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-27 01:37
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -3.02%E -1.90%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-27 01:36
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 01:37
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.60%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 01:37
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.80%E -1.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-27 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 01:37
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.63%E -2.30%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 01:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.85%E -3.11%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 01:30
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 01:30
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 01:19
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.38%E -2.66%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 01:19
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -1.19%E -0.737%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 01:37
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 18:30
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.01%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 01:37
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.33%E -3.55%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 01:37
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.21%EV -10.34%E -7.04%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.79%EV -9.50%E -4.10%K -7.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 01:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-10-27 01:37
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-10-27 01:37
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-10-27 01:37
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-10-27 01:37
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-27 01:37
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-10-27 01:37
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-10-26 23:15
BetOpenly◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.20%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.80%1.5%2026-10-27 01:29
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-10-27 01:37

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.26%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-10-27 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-27 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-27 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.39%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.60%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%3.5%2026-10-27 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%4.3%2026-10-27 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%4.4%2026-10-26 23:15
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.26%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.15%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.60%4.6%2026-10-27 01:29
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.3%2026-10-27 00:46
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.3%2026-10-27 00:40
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.3%2026-10-27 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-10-27 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%6.9%2026-10-27 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.25%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%7.0%2026-10-27 01:30
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%7.1%2026-10-27 01:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%8.7%2026-10-27 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%10.4%2026-10-27 01:30
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%11.1%2026-10-27 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%11.6%2026-10-27 01:36
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.75%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%16.4%2026-10-27 01:30