Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.04
assuming max odds 1.91
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 48.70%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 51.30%. For Edmonton Oilers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.04, with an expected value of -0.655%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -0.655%E -0.321%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.63%E -0.806%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -1.63%E -0.806%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.63%E -0.806%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.63%E -0.806%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.63%E -3.64%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 01:57 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.66%E -4.25%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 16:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.12%E -3.34%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 00:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.06%E -2.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:27 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 18:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 05:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 01:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.04%E -2.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.01%E -3.11%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.04%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.50%E -3.38%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.50%E -3.38%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.09%E -2.75%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.99%E -3.66%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.01%E -1.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -3.93%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.33%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.47%E -3.93%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.53%E -1.33%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.93%E -4.78%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.58%EV -11.86%E -6.55%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.42%EV -12.27%E -7.18%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.23% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 1.1% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.20% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-06 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.03% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.21% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.05% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 01:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.22% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.31% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.24% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.81% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.17% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.82% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.22% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.87% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.35% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 02:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75% | 14.7% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |