L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.71
avec la cote maximale 2.27
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| BetUS | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.64%E -2.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 02:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.75%E -0.770%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-27 22:25 |
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 20:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Bovada | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 22:35 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.08%E -2.80%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 22:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| ReBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 02:43 |
| Neds | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.94%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.94%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| Betsson | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.69%E -5.39%K -14.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 02:38 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49% | -0.0% | 2026-03-28 02:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Polymarket | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 02:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 2.6% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Novig | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48% | 8.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.16% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.98% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 01:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.84% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48% | 5.9% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68% | 7.6% | 2026-03-27 21:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.55% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67% | 8.9% | 2026-03-28 02:37 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83% | 9.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83% | 9.5% | 2026-03-28 02:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74% | 9.5% | 2026-03-27 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.70% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29% | 16.5% | 2026-03-28 02:40 |