La escuela de los momios

Edmonton Oilers v Anaheim Ducks

Inicio: 2026-03-28 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Predicción 56.72%1.76momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -4.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.14%56.73%56.69%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.691.7162.11%59.34%59.17%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anaheim Ducks (Visitante)

Predicción 43.28%2.31momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.770%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%43.27%43.31%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.2747.62%45.30%45.45%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 15:44
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:00
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.01%E -1.76%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:00
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-28 01:00
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-27 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:50
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.58%E -2.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.64%E -2.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 02:25
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -1.75%E -0.770%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-27 22:25
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 19:40
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 22:05
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 22:35
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.91%E -1.76%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:39
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:15
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 02:09
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.15%E -2.45%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.08%E -2.80%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:30
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 22:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.05%E -1.36%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 21:55
ReBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:39
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 02:43
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.94%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.72%E -2.81%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.94%E -3.23%K -6.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-28 01:50
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:55
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 21:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 15:44
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.28%E -3.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.61%E -1.16%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:10
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.42%E -3.89%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.78%E -2.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 21:55
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.69%E -5.39%K -14.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.11%E -4.34%K -8.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-28 02:38
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-03-28 02:30
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-28 02:45
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-28 02:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.2%2026-03-28 03:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-03-28 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-28 03:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%2.6%2026-03-28 02:45
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%3.2%2026-03-28 02:45
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%8.0%2026-03-28 03:10

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.16%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.86%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.98%3.2%2026-03-28 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%3.9%2026-03-27 21:30
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%3.9%2026-03-27 21:30
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%3.9%2026-03-27 21:30
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%3.9%2026-03-27 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.98%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%3.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.16%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.84%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.00%4.7%2026-03-28 01:45
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-27 22:59
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-27 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-27 21:30
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-27 21:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-03-27 21:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%5.9%2026-03-28 01:45
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.86%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-03-27 21:30
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%7.6%2026-03-27 21:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.80%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-28 02:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.55%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.67%8.9%2026-03-28 02:37
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-03-28 02:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-03-28 02:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%9.5%2026-03-27 22:05
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.70%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%16.5%2026-03-28 02:40