Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers v Anaheim Ducks

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 02:16 UTC

Final: Edmonton Oilers 4–6 Anaheim Ducks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 62.46%1.60fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -4.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%62.66%62.45%64.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5667.11%65.36%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anaheim Ducks (Visit)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd
EV +1.36%
Edge +0.504%
Kelly +0.801%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.56%37.34%37.55%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.552.7040.82%39.20%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 62.46%; Anaheim Ducks (Visit): 37.54%. For Anaheim Ducks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -6.94%E -4.66%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +1.36%E +0.504%K +0.801%G +0.011%4.2%2026-04-23 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -5.69%E -3.77%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -0.891%E -0.337%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 02:10
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.27%E -0.481%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 02:10
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.27%E -0.481%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 02:07
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.81%E -2.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 02:09
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 02:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-23 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.14%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -3.14%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-23 02:10
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.14%E -1.22%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 02:09
Paddy Power🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.81%E -2.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 02:09
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:08
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.64%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 02:03
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.81%E -2.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.77%E -2.30%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.19%E -2.06%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 02:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 02:09
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.06%E -3.33%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 02:09
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.81%E -2.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.52%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:10
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -3.81%E -2.48%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.52%E -2.62%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 02:08
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 02:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-04-23 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-23 02:09
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-04-23 02:09
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-04-23 02:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-23 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.32%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-04-23 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.77%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%4.4%2026-04-23 02:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.27%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%4.5%2026-04-23 01:57
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.84%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.29%4.6%2026-04-23 01:59
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.31%4.7%2026-04-23 02:09
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%5.4%2026-04-23 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.01%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%5.6%2026-04-23 02:09
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-04-23 02:09
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-04-23 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-04-23 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%6.0%2026-04-23 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-23 02:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.01%7.0%2026-04-23 01:58
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%7.6%2026-04-23 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.77%7.6%2026-04-23 02:07
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%7.6%2026-04-23 02:09
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%8.1%2026-04-23 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%12.6%2026-04-23 02:10