Language:English
Detroit Red Wings v Winnipeg Jets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Red Wings (Local)
Prediction 48.04%2.08fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%48.01%48.00%49.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.0554.05%50.33%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Winnipeg Jets (Visit)
Prediction 51.96%1.92fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.954%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.65%51.99%52.00%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.831.8957.80%54.69%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 48.04%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 51.96%. For Detroit Red Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -1.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.51%E -0.736%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.04%E -4.54%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.99%E -0.975%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.99%E -0.975%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -1.99%E -0.975%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -2.47%E -1.22%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -7.00%E -3.91%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -2.47%E -1.22%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -7.00%E -3.91%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.95%E -1.46%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.32%E -1.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.95%E -1.46%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.36%E -1.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94%EV -2.95%E -1.46%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06%EV -3.36%E -1.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.95%E -1.46%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.91%E -1.96%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.87%E -2.46%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.40%E -2.39%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.35%E -2.72%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.40%E -2.39%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.83%E -2.98%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 16:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 16:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.31%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -6.79%E -3.50%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -1.80%E -0.954%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:14 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -11.12%E -6.01%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -10.12%E -5.85%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38% | 2.3% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.06% | 3.3% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.09% | 1.9% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18% | 2.7% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.93% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.02% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.05% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.90% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.50% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 16:57 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.68% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.07% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.08% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.38% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.53% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.19% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21% | 7.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.18% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.58% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 17:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.24% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.62% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.98% | 14.5% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25% | 14.7% | 2026-10-04 16:50 |