The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Detroit Red Wings v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 23:08 UTC

Final: Detroit Red Wings 4–3 San Jose Sharks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 56.80%1.76fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.67%56.70%56.78%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.691.7263.29%59.37%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 43.20%2.31fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.30%43.22%44.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.2547.62%45.36%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 56.80%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 43.20%. For Detroit Red Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.72, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -2.31%E -1.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -3.22%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-17 22:40
Caesars🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -2.31%E -1.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -6.68%E -3.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.22%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -3.22%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 21:40
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 22:35
Paddy Power🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.81%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-17 23:05
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -2.88%E -1.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -6.68%E -3.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 23:05
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 23:00
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.09%E -1.84%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 22:22
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 22:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.45%E -2.03%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 23:05
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 22:25
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 21:45
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.02%E -2.38%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-17 22:19
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.58%E -2.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.22%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 21:45
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.58%E -2.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:45
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.58%E -2.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.58%E -2.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 22:20
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.58%E -2.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 20:30
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 20:30
Betsson🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 23:00
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 14:25
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 14:24
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.15%E -3.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.79%E -1.24%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:40
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 22:49
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.26%E -6.50%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.27%E -4.41%K -8.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-10-17 22:10
Novig◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.25%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.75%0.4%2026-10-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-10-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-10-17 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-10-17 22:59
ProphetX◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-10-17 23:00
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-10-17 21:55
Polymarket◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-10-17 22:05
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-10-17 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-10-17 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-10-17 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-10-17 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-10-17 15:00
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.33%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%4.5%2026-10-17 21:54
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.63%4.8%2026-10-17 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-10-17 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-17 20:30
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-17 20:30
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-17 22:55
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-10-17 20:30
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-10-17 22:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.76%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-10-17 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.59%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.68%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%7.0%2026-10-17 23:00
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-10-17 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-17 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.29%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%9.1%2026-10-17 22:35
picklebet_au🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.44%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.39%9.6%2026-10-17 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.66%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%10.6%2026-10-17 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%12.6%2026-10-17 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%14.9%2026-10-17 22:34