The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Detroit Red Wings v New York Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 22:38 UTC

Final: Detroit Red Wings 0–2 New York Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 53.34%1.87fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.40%53.25%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.791.8359.52%56.03%55.87%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV +0.782%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.674%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.60%46.75%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.052.1651.81%48.83%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 53.34%; New York Rangers (Visit): 46.66%. For New York Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.782%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV +0.782%E +0.362%K +0.674%G +0.005%2.5%2026-10-02 22:25
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-02 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 21:45
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.72%E -4.46%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.02%E -0.961%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 19:40
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:25
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.95%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.42%E -1.65%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-02 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.88%E -1.89%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-02 22:30
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:29
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 12:16
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 22:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 17:35
TAB🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 21:30
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 22:19
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.65%E -3.80%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 22:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.19%E -4.13%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.35%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 22:35
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:30
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.52%E -2.52%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:30
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -5.59%E -3.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -5.28%E -2.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 22:35
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 22:30
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.98%E -2.21%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 22:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 22:30
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.05%E -2.84%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.75%E -2.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 22:30
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.38%E -1.30%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 22:25
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.45%E -1.91%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 22:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.39%E -6.18%K -15.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -9.95%E -5.16%K -10.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-02 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-10-02 22:35
ProphetX◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-10-02 22:35
Novig◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-10-02 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-10-02 22:35
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-10-02 22:35
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-10-02 22:35
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-10-02 22:35
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-10-02 22:35
BetOpenly◎1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%4.3%2026-10-02 22:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-10-02 22:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-10-02 22:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-10-02 22:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.17%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-10-02 22:25
Coolbet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%4.6%2026-10-02 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.97%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.00%4.8%2026-10-02 22:29
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.14%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.54%4.8%2026-10-02 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%5.2%2026-10-02 22:34
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-10-02 22:25
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-10-02 22:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-10-02 22:25
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.21%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-10-02 22:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.43%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%5.7%2026-10-02 22:25
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-02 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-10-02 21:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%8.6%2026-10-02 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-10-02 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%9.6%2026-10-02 22:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%12.2%2026-10-02 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%12.4%2026-10-02 22:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.80%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%14.0%2026-10-02 22:29