The School of Odds

Detroit Red Wings v New York Rangers

2026-10-02 23:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

4 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV -5.53%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.07%44.56%44.56%45.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.922.032.002.1252%49%50%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 33.70%2.97fair odd
EV -5.64%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.67%33.70%33.70%34.07%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.652.8040%38%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.74%4.60fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.95%21.74%21.74%22.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.954.184.304.3525%24%23%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.55%EV -5.53%E -2.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -5.64%E -2.01%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.71%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 22:20
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -6.42%E -3.06%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -6.31%E -2.27%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -10.70%E -4.04%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-16 01:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -10.88%E -5.44%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -12.38%E -4.76%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-16 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.36%EV -14.44%E -7.52%K -15.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.07%EV -15.75%E -6.30%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.56%EV -14.13%E -3.58%K -4.79%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-16 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-07-15 22:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-07-16 01:14
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%5.1%2026-07-16 02:15
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-07-16 01:55