La scuola delle quote

Detroit Red Wings v Calgary Flames

Inizio: 2026-03-16 23:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Casa)

Previsione 62.19%1.61quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -4.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.10%62.15%62.25%63.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.541.541.5770.42%64.99%64.94%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Calgary Flames (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.81%2.64quota equa
EV -1.31%
Vantaggio -0.501%
Kelly -0.812%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.59%37.85%37.75%38.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.522.522.6143.10%39.67%39.68%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 23:00
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.31%E -0.501%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-16 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 23:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 23:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 22:59
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:53
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 23:00
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 23:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:00
Paddy Power1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 22:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 22:58
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 22:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 22:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:59
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 22:56
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 23:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.48%E -3.60%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 23:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.69%E -8.24%K -27.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.27%E -5.29%K -9.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15%0.1%2026-03-16 22:59
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-03-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86%1.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-03-16 23:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%4.2%2026-03-16 22:59
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-03-16 22:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.7%2026-03-16 22:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-16 23:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%6.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%6.8%2026-03-16 23:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 51.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-16 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%8.6%2026-03-16 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-16 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-16 23:00
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-16 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.85%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%10.8%2026-03-16 22:56
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-16 23:00