L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Calgary Flames

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 23:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 62.19%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.37%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -4.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.10%62.15%62.25%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.541.541.5770.42%64.99%64.94%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Flames (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.81%2.64cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.501%
Kelly -0.812%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.85%37.75%38.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.522.522.6143.10%39.67%39.68%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 23:00
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.37%E -1.51%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-16 23:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -1.31%E -0.501%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-16 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 23:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-16 23:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:00
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:00
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.99%E -1.92%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 22:59
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 22:53
BetAnything1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-16 23:00
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 23:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.61%E -2.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:00
Paddy Power1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-16 22:59
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.95%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 22:58
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 22:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.23%E -2.75%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.85%E -2.35%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 22:59
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -2.44%E -0.947%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 22:59
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-16 22:56
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.71%E -1.87%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.85%E -3.17%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.36%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 23:00
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.48%E -3.60%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.58%E -1.40%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 23:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.69%E -0.648%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.72%E -4.48%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.47%E -2.19%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-16 22:59
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.69%E -8.24%K -27.84%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.27%E -5.29%K -9.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-16 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.85%2.69I 37.17%NM 37.15%0.1%2026-03-16 22:59
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-03-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 62.14%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.86%1.2%2026-03-16 23:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-03-16 23:00
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-03-16 23:00

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.59%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-03-16 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.06%4.2%2026-03-16 22:59
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%4.6%2026-03-16 22:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.98%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.92%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.7%2026-03-16 22:59
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.8%2026-03-16 23:00
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%5.2%2026-03-16 23:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.38%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%6.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%6.8%2026-03-16 23:00
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 51.45%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-03-16 23:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-03-16 23:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%8.6%2026-03-16 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-16 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-16 23:00
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%8.9%2026-03-16 23:00
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.85%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.59%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%10.8%2026-03-16 22:56
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%11.0%2026-03-16 23:00