The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Dallas Stars v Winnipeg Jets

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 00:08 UTC

Final: Dallas Stars 3–2 Winnipeg Jets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 63.69%1.57fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.65%63.73%63.74%64.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5471.43%66.59%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Jets (Visit)

Prediction 36.31%2.75fair odd
EV +0.227%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.129%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.24%36.27%36.26%37.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.522.622.622.7639.68%38.15%38.17%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 63.69%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 36.31%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.227%.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36%EV +0.227%E +0.082%K +0.129%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-22 23:25
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.75%E -3.88%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.23%E -0.450%K -0.712%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 00:05
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-22 03:07
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 14:05
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 14:05
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.95%E -0.723%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-22 14:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.04%E -1.14%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 00:00
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-22 22:35
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-23 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 13:16
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 14:29
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -3.77%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 23:44
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 00:00
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -5.11%E -3.43%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.13%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 23:58
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -4.49%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-22 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -1.92%E -1.25%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 14:30
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -4.86%E -1.85%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.56%E -1.67%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 00:05
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 17:14
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 17:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-21 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.58%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.67%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 23:50
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.83%E -2.54%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -6.67%E -2.60%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.20%E -2.10%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-22 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 13:15
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 23:49
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 23:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 00:05
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.47%E -2.98%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.40%E -2.90%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-22 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.29%EV -10.84%E -7.74%K -27.10%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.71%EV -8.49%E -3.37%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-22 14:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-10-22 23:15
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-10-23 00:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-10-22 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-23 00:05
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-10-23 00:05
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-22 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-10-23 00:05
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-10-23 00:00
BetOpenly◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-10-22 23:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-10-22 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-10-22 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-10-22 18:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.3%2026-10-22 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%4.7%2026-10-22 23:59
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.53%4.9%2026-10-22 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-10-23 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-10-22 14:05
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-10-22 14:04
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%5.2%2026-10-22 14:05
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-22 14:04
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%6.4%2026-10-22 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-10-22 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.87%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%6.8%2026-10-23 00:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%8.2%2026-10-23 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%8.8%2026-10-23 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%8.9%2026-10-23 00:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.26%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.98%10.8%2026-10-23 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.10%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%11.8%2026-10-23 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.40%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.97%16.7%2026-10-23 00:05