L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 55.62%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.443%
Avantage -0.247%
Kelly -0.560%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.63%55.63%55.84%57.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.721.731.7963.69%58.02%57.80%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.38%2.25cote équitable
EV +0.302%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.240%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.89%44.37%44.16%46.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.132.2650.00%46.79%46.95%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV +0.302%E +0.134%K +0.240%G +0.001%2.7%2026-03-22 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.142%E -0.063%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-21 20:30
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-22 22:55
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 22:35
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 14:54
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 14:54
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.56%E -3.91%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:55
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 22:59
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.56%E -3.91%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 22:53
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 23:04
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -6.00%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -3.69%E -1.70%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 18:30
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:05
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:04
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:00
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 23:04
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 22:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:03
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.02%E -2.35%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 22:54
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -0.443%E -0.247%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -0.443%E -0.247%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 23:05
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 23:05
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 22:59
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 23:05
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.36%E -3.01%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 23:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.56%E -0.879%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:04
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.56%E -0.879%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.56%E -0.879%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-22 23:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 23:05
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:04
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 23:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.45%E -3.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 23:05
Everygame1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -0.443%E -0.247%K -0.560%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.13%E -3.93%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.78%E -2.18%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:04
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.68%E -8.08%K -22.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.98%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.84%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.16%0.2%2026-03-22 23:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-03-22 23:05
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 55.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.67%0.4%2026-03-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-22 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-22 23:00
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-03-22 22:44
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-03-22 23:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-22 23:05
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-03-22 22:59

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-22 14:54
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-22 21:00
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.33%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-03-22 14:55
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.19%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%4.4%2026-03-22 23:04
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.40%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.16%4.7%2026-03-22 22:59
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.23%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.76%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%4.7%2026-03-22 22:59
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.09%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%5.1%2026-03-22 23:00
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-22 14:54
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-22 14:55
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-22 14:54
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%5.3%2026-03-22 14:55
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-03-22 14:54
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-03-22 15:34
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 45.09%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-03-22 14:54
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.83%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%8.6%2026-03-22 22:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-03-22 23:04
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.06%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%9.1%2026-03-22 22:35
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.61%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%9.6%2026-03-22 23:04
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-22 22:50
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.90%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-03-22 22:33
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%13.9%2026-03-22 23:05