The School of Odds

Dallas Stars v St Louis Blues

2026-10-03 00:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

4 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 52.59%1.90fair odd
EV -5.35%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -6.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.65%52.59%52.59%52.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.741.8061%58%57%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

St Louis Blues (Visit)

Prediction 25.00%4.00fair odd
EV -4.99%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%25.00%25.00%26.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.573.553.8031%28%28%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.41%4.46fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.75%22.41%22.41%22.75%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.804.064.154.2526%25%24%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.99%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.32%EV -4.75%E -1.12%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 22:20
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.46%EV -6.40%E -3.59%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -6.74%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -6.99%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.51%EV -8.50%E -4.89%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -11.24%E -3.17%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.75%EV -5.87%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-15 22:30
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -10.08%E -5.89%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.49%E -3.57%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -12.59%E -3.23%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-16 01:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.65%EV -13.76%E -8.39%K -21.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.06%EV -18.75%E -5.77%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.29%EV -14.83%E -3.90%K -5.30%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-15 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%4.2%2026-07-15 22:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%4.6%2026-07-15 22:20
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-07-16 02:15
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%5.8%2026-07-16 01:55