Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars v St Louis Blues

2026-10-03 01:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.73%52.41%52.62%52.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.751.741.8460.98%57.14%57.47%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Louis Blues (Visit)

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.534%
Kelly -0.724%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%25.71%25.60%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.453.8131.25%28.33%28.99%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.88%4.57fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.20%21.88%21.78%22.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.204.304.4625.64%23.80%23.26%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dallas Stars (Local): 52.41%; St Louis Blues (Visit): 25.71%; Draw: 21.88%. For St Louis Blues (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.81, with an expected value of -2.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.76%EV -3.57%E -1.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.48%EV -2.04%E -0.534%K -0.724%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.77%EV -2.42%E -0.542%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-17 14:44
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.80%EV -5.14%E -2.84%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.48%EV -3.58%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.73%E -0.847%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 14:39
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -5.67%E -3.15%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.38%EV -8.81%E -5.06%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -5.92%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-16 11:40
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -10.38%E -6.07%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -12.48%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-17 14:09
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.80%EV -10.38%E -6.07%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.15%EV -12.48%E -3.12%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-18 17:05
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 51.73%EV -14.05%E -8.57%K -21.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.51%EV -17.72%E -5.54%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.75%EV -14.67%E -3.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-17 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%4.2%2026-07-15 22:20
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%4.4%2026-07-18 04:20
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%4.6%2026-07-15 22:20
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%5.5%2026-08-04 17:35
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%5.5%2026-08-04 17:35
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%5.8%2026-07-16 01:55