The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dallas Stars v San Jose Sharks

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 63.92%1.56fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.81%63.86%64.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5470.42%66.66%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Sharks (Visit)

Prediction 36.08%2.77fair odd
EV +0.314%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.05%36.19%36.14%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.622.7840.82%38.18%38.17%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 63.92%; San Jose Sharks (Visit): 36.08%. For San Jose Sharks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.314%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV +0.314%E +0.113%K +0.177%G +0.001%2.6%2026-10-05 15:05
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -1.49%E -0.546%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.21%E -0.816%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.22%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.78%EV -2.21%E -0.816%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-05 15:00
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:00
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:04
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 14:59
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 14:59
Paddy Power🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.57%E -0.953%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.29%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:01
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -4.02%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-05 15:05
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -5.40%E -3.65%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -4.02%E -1.51%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:04
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.77%E -3.20%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.38%E -1.65%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 15:01
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 15:05
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.46%E -2.08%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 15:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -5.82%E -2.23%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.21%E -1.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-05 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:00
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:00
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.18%E -2.38%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 15:00
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.49%E -2.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.62%E -2.98%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.57%E -1.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.57%E -1.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 15:01
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.57%E -1.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 15:01
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -1.57%E -1.02%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-05 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.13%E -2.75%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.98%E -3.13%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 15:05
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.21%E -1.44%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.79%E -3.92%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.32%E -5.05%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.59%E -4.73%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 15:01
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.32%E -5.05%K -16.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.59%E -4.73%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-05 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -9.24%E -6.51%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.59%E -4.73%K -8.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-05 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-10-05 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-10-05 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-10-05 15:10
Matchbook◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-10-05 15:15
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-05 15:01
Polymarket◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-10-05 15:00
ProphetX◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.1%2026-10-05 15:15
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-10-05 15:15
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%3.7%2026-10-05 15:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%2.7%2026-10-05 15:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%2.7%2026-10-05 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%2.7%2026-10-05 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%2.7%2026-10-05 15:10
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.07%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.52%3.1%2026-10-05 15:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.50%4.5%2026-10-05 15:05
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-10-05 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-05 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-05 15:10
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-10-05 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%5.6%2026-10-05 15:00
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%6.4%2026-10-05 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.04%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.23%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%7.1%2026-10-05 15:11
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%8.5%2026-10-05 15:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%9.2%2026-10-05 15:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%9.2%2026-10-05 15:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%12.3%2026-10-05 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.18%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.56%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.26%15.2%2026-10-05 15:09