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Dallas Stars v Minnesota Wild
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Stars (Local)
Prediction 56.37%1.77fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.34%56.43%58.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7460.61%58.89%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Wild (Visit)
Prediction 43.63%2.29fair odd
EV +0.351%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.270%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%43.66%43.57%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3048.78%45.71%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 56.37%; Minnesota Wild (Visit): 43.63%. For Minnesota Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.351%.
16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.99%E -4.24%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +0.351%E +0.153%K +0.270%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.74%E -2.80%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.83%E -0.814%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-21 01:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.83%E -0.814%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.83%E -0.814%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -1.92%E -1.10%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.70%E -1.21%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.14%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.14%E -1.41%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.86%E -3.51%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -3.58%E -1.62%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.74%E -2.80%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.01%E -1.82%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.61%E -2.11%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.30%E -3.15%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.19%E -2.88%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.50%E -3.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.05%E -1.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.50%E -3.54%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.48%E -1.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.38%E -3.99%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.17%E -2.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.56%E -5.15%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 01:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.78% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.84% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.01% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.01% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.01% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.77% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55% | 6.2% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.87% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.87% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 01:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.15% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 01:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.75% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 01:46 |