Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars v Chicago Blackhawks

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 22:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 72.86%1.37fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -6.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%72.79%72.77%73.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.311.311.3482.64%76.21%76.34%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Blackhawks (Visit)

Prediction 27.14%3.69fair odd
EV -0.143%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.40%27.21%27.23%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.6831.25%28.62%28.57%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 72.86%; Chicago Blackhawks (Visit): 27.14%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.68, with an expected value of -0.143%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV -3.13%E -0.876%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -2.36%E -1.76%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 16:55
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 21:59
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:00
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -3.09%E -2.32%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -0.143%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.60%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.40%EV -0.143%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 22:00
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -2.86%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-08 21:58
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 21:28
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Paddy Power🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 21:59
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 22:00
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 22:00
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.82%E -2.89%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 21:59
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:59
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:59
Everygame🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 21:59
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 21:59
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 21:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -4.55%E -3.47%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -5.57%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 21:59
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:59
Caesars🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.31%E -0.643%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 21:49
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.28%E -4.06%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 21:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.00%E -4.65%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.56%EV -11.83%E -9.78%K -56.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 21:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.35I 74.07%NM 73.89%3.82I 26.18%NM 26.11%0.3%2026-03-08 21:59
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-03-08 21:00
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-03-08 21:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-08 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-08 22:00
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-08 21:29
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-08 21:30
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-03-08 22:00
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-03-08 22:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-08 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-08 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-08 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.01%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%3.4%2026-03-08 21:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.46%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%4.2%2026-03-08 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.31%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%4.2%2026-03-08 22:00
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.92%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.14%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%4.5%2026-03-08 21:59
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.10%4.7%2026-03-08 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.69%4.7%2026-03-08 21:59
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-08 16:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-08 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-08 16:55
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%5.2%2026-03-08 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%6.6%2026-03-08 21:59
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%7.3%2026-03-08 16:54
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%8.6%2026-03-08 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%8.8%2026-03-08 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%8.9%2026-03-08 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.48%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.70%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%9.2%2026-03-08 21:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%11.0%2026-03-08 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%11.0%2026-03-08 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%13.9%2026-03-08 21:59