The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Columbus Blue Jackets v Toronto Maple Leafs

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 23:08 UTC

Final: Columbus Blue Jackets 2–6 Toronto Maple Leafs

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Columbus Blue Jackets (Local)

Prediction 59.50%1.68fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.40%59.34%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.611.6565.79%61.98%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%40.60%40.66%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4345.45%42.58%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Columbus Blue Jackets (Local): 59.50%; Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit): 40.50%. For Toronto Maple Leafs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 22:04
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.05%E -2.61%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 23:05
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.05%E -2.61%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -2.42%E -1.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -8.07%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-20 20:44
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.01%E -1.85%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.59%E -0.655%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-20 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.01%E -1.85%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.24%E -2.24%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.00%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-20 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.00%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-20 21:25
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-20 21:17
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 21:14
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 22:18
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 21:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 21:15
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -2.00%E -0.825%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-20 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 23:05
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 20:50
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-20 20:50
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-20 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 23:05
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-20 23:05
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 21:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-20 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 20:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 21:15
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.64%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 21:15
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -5.64%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-20 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 20:50
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -4.43%E -1.88%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-20 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.56%E -6.29%K -18.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.91%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 23:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-10-20 23:05
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-10-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-10-20 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%0.9%2026-10-20 22:05
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-20 21:15
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-20 20:45
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.3%2026-10-20 23:05
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-10-20 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%3.4%2026-10-20 22:59

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.37%1.6%2026-10-20 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-10-20 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-10-20 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-10-20 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.05%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.54%4.4%2026-10-20 23:04
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.58%4.6%2026-10-20 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%5.2%2026-10-20 23:05
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-10-20 23:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-10-20 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.5%2026-10-20 23:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%6.3%2026-10-20 23:05
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%6.3%2026-10-20 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-10-20 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%7.0%2026-10-20 23:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-10-20 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-10-20 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%9.1%2026-10-20 21:55
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%9.5%2026-10-20 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.91%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%11.1%2026-10-20 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%12.6%2026-10-20 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%14.9%2026-10-20 22:58