L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.57
avec la cote maximale 2.63
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.59%E -1.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -5.87%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-21 20:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.59%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.41%EV -0.934%E -0.358%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Everygame | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.31%E -0.505%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| Paddy Power | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.01%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.21%E -2.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.31%E -0.505%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.31%E -0.505%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.35%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 18:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.01%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.01%E -2.86%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 20:45 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.83%E -2.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.90%E -3.71%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.31%E -0.505%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 20:40 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:43 |
| SportsBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.25%E -2.53%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.45%E -2.89%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.25%E -2.53%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Bovada | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -5.07%E -3.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -0.175%E -0.066%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 21:03 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.07%E -3.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.31%E -0.505%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-21 18:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Bally Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.07%E -3.32%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.11%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 18:39 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -0.554%E -0.211%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 17:09 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.31%E -4.18%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.21%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 20:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.66%EV -11.28%E -7.89%K -26.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.34%EV -12.70%E -5.52%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-21 15:35 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 20:44 |
| Coolbet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.10% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.15% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75% | 4.5% | 2026-03-21 21:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.03% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.35% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.62% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.10% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 20:34 |
| Unibet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 18:39 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.40% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 17:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.13% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 20:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.56% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 21:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.04% | 13.4% | 2026-03-21 20:59 |