La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.459%E +0.206%K +0.373%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.459%E +0.206%K +0.373%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.893%E -0.406%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 20:25 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.893%E -0.406%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.33%E -5.65%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.893%E -0.406%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.79%E -0.823%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.29%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.29%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.64%E -0.915%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:51 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.50%E -2.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:51 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.90% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.56% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.25% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.26% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.94% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.81% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.66% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46% | 13.7% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |