L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.79
avec la cote maximale 2.23
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.459%E +0.206%K +0.373%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.68%E -4.57%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.459%E +0.206%K +0.373%G +0.002% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.893%E -0.406%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 20:25 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.893%E -0.406%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.33%E -5.65%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.893%E -0.406%K -0.744%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.79%E -0.823%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.29%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.29%E -1.87%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.69%E -1.25%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -1.64%E -0.915%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:51 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.14%E -1.46%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.50%E -2.12%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.95%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:51 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.74%E -1.55%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 16:30 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.40%E -2.57%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.30%E -3.03%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.65%E -3.73%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -12.15%E -6.23%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80% | 0.1% | 2026-03-03 23:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.21% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21% | 3.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.90% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.68% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.56% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.62% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.82% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.25% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.26% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.94% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.93% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.12% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.57% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.13% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.71% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.68% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.72% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.81% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.11I 47.39%NM 42.66% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38% | 11.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46% | 13.7% | 2026-03-04 00:05 |