La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.28%E -1.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.28%E -1.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 21:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -0.721%E -0.259%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 21:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.51%E -0.918%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:08 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.29%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.79%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.79%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.79%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.65%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.57%E -9.24%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.72%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 21:39 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Novig | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.50% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.35% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |