L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.53
avec la cote maximale 2.78
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.28%E -1.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -2.28%E -1.50%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-12 21:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.95%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.05%EV -0.721%E -0.259%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:15 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:40 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 21:47 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.57%E -2.38%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.93%E -3.50%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Bovada | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.51%E -0.918%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-12 21:38 |
| DraftKings | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:08 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.29%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.36%E -2.02%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.79%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -4.21%E -2.83%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -6.79%E -2.60%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.79%E -0.652%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.58%E -1.33%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 21:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -4.65%E -1.74%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.15%E -2.75%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 21:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 21:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -12.57%E -9.24%K -34.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.72%E -4.29%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 21:39 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-12 21:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-04-12 21:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.14% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Novig | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.57% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.43% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.64% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.36% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11% | 3.0% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28% | 4.4% | 2026-04-12 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.50% | 4.5% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.35% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.13% | 4.7% | 2026-04-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.55% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 21:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.29% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08% | 5.4% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 21:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 21:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.14% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94% | 13.7% | 2026-04-12 22:00 |