The School of Odds
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Chicago Blackhawks v Winnipeg Jets

Kickoff: 2026-10-16 00:09 UTC

Final: Chicago Blackhawks 4–3 Winnipeg Jets

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 46.74%2.14fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.877%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.90%46.75%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.032.052.1052.08%49.16%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winnipeg Jets (Visit)

Prediction 53.26%1.88fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%53.10%53.25%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.801.801.8559.52%55.65%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 46.74%; Winnipeg Jets (Visit): 53.26%. For Winnipeg Jets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.84%E -0.877%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.73%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-15 21:15
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.84%E -0.877%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.33%E -4.21%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-16 00:05
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.31%E -1.11%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.54%E -1.39%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-16 00:05
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.71%E -1.80%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 00:00
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.60%E -1.99%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 21:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:15
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:20
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:35
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:14
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:14
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:55
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:19
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:49
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:15
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 21:19
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.18%E -2.04%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.47%E -0.796%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-15 21:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.47%E -0.796%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-15 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 22:49
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.65%E -2.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 21:14
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.11%E -2.52%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.67%E -2.61%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 21:25
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 21:25
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.58%E -2.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.20%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 21:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 21:45
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 23:48
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 21:14
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 23:48
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-16 00:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.52%E -3.26%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.92%E -4.02%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.47%E -0.796%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 21:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.85%E -4.54%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.13%E -2.30%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-16 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.67%EV -10.26%E -5.34%K -11.15%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.33%EV -10.53%E -6.27%K -15.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-15 21:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-16 00:00
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-16 00:00
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-15 22:00
Novig◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-16 00:00
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-10-15 22:10
BetOpenly◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-10-15 23:59
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-10-16 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.80%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.80%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%1.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-16 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-16 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.92%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-16 00:00
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.58%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.33%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.10%4.8%2026-10-15 23:55
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.30%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-10-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.92%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%5.0%2026-10-16 00:00
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%5.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-15 22:35
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%6.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.56%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.42%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%6.8%2026-10-16 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.35%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%8.4%2026-10-15 22:30
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.7%2026-10-15 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-10-16 00:00
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.34%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%10.1%2026-10-16 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%11.3%2026-10-16 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%12.2%2026-10-16 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.39%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.62%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.98%14.5%2026-10-15 23:35