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Chicago Blackhawks v Montréal Canadiens

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 00:09 UTC

Final: Chicago Blackhawks 1–4 Montréal Canadiens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 40.49%2.47fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.835%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.65%40.49%40.42%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.362.352.4445.05%42.43%42.55%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Montréal Canadiens (Visit)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.51%59.58%60.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.611.611.6566.23%62.27%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 40.49%; Montréal Canadiens (Visit): 59.51%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%EV -1.20%E -0.493%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-23 21:30
Everygame🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.01%E -0.832%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.01%E -0.832%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 14:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.42%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-23 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.42%E -1.00%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-23 23:15
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 19:45
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-23 19:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 21:39
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 21:39
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.82%E -1.18%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 21:39
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-23 21:00
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 23:15
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:15
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:14
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-23 21:14
Bovada🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:45
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.81%E -1.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.00%E -1.84%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 21:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 14:14
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 14:13
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 14:15
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 23:30
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 21:44
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 21:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 21:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 21:39
ReBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.66%E -2.43%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.40%E -1.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.06%E -2.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 23:35
SportsBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.47%E -2.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 00:05
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.59%E -2.22%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-23 14:44
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 14:43
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 14:44
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 23:50
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.38%E -3.38%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 00:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.48%EV -10.11%E -4.55%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -10.14%E -6.72%K -19.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-23 15:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-10-24 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-10-24 00:00
ProphetX◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-10-24 00:00
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-10-24 00:05
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-10-24 00:05
BetOpenly◎2.49I 40.16%NM 39.86%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.14%0.8%2026-10-23 23:55
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-10-23 14:13
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-10-23 23:50
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-10-23 19:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.84%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.75%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.41%1.5%2026-10-23 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%3.8%2026-10-23 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%3.8%2026-10-23 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%3.8%2026-10-23 23:45
1xBet🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.51%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.99%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51%4.7%2026-10-23 23:59
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%4.7%2026-10-23 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.25%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-10-24 00:05
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.3%2026-10-23 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-23 23:45
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-23 23:45
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%6.3%2026-10-23 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%6.8%2026-10-23 23:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.75%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%6.9%2026-10-24 00:00
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%8.4%2026-10-23 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-10-24 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.01%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%9.3%2026-10-23 23:35
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-10-24 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%9.9%2026-10-24 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%12.8%2026-10-24 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%14.9%2026-10-23 23:49