The School of Odds
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Chicago Blackhawks v Dallas Stars

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 23:08 UTC

Final: Chicago Blackhawks 0–4 Dallas Stars

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 34.29%2.92fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.672%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.57%34.39%34.30%35.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.762.782.8638.17%36.18%35.97%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Stars (Visit)

Prediction 65.71%1.52fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -5.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.32%65.61%65.70%66.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.451.451.4872.99%68.80%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 34.29%; Dallas Stars (Visit): 65.71%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.86, with an expected value of -1.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.

20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.92%E -0.672%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -2.75%E -1.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-17 22:40
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.27%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.27%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 13:45
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.27%E -0.795%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -2.61%E -0.918%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -2.61%E -0.918%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:40
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 23:00
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 23:00
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 13:49
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.07%E -2.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 21:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 16:19
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 13:39
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 14:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 13:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 13:39
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 23:00
Bet Right🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.67%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 22:50
Caesars🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -4.67%E -1.68%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -5.01%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -5.01%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 19:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -5.01%E -1.81%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 22:44
FanDuel🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -5.35%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:45
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 22:59
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.69%E -2.07%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.74%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.07%E -2.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 16:20
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.72%E -2.47%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.07%E -2.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 22:40
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.72%E -2.47%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.07%E -2.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 22:45
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.41%E -2.74%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.07%E -2.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:39
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.41%E -2.74%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.41%E -2.74%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:39
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -3.41%E -2.32%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.12%E -3.44%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 23:05
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.15%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -10.15%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -4.72%E -3.26%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 22:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.34%EV -10.15%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.66%EV -9.98%E -7.29%K -26.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-10-17 23:05
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-17 17:05
Polymarket◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-17 13:45
Novig◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-10-17 23:00
Matchbook◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.56%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.44%1.9%2026-10-17 23:05
BetOpenly◎2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%2.4%2026-10-17 22:59
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%7.4%2026-10-17 23:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 24.06%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-10-17 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-17 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-17 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%3.1%2026-10-17 21:40
1xBet🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.36%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.57%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.07%4.5%2026-10-17 22:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%4.9%2026-10-17 23:05
Coolbet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-10-17 22:59
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-17 16:40
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-17 21:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.47%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-10-17 16:40
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-10-17 21:40
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%6.2%2026-10-17 21:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%6.9%2026-10-17 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%7.0%2026-10-17 23:00
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%7.3%2026-10-17 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%8.6%2026-10-17 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%8.9%2026-10-17 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%10.5%2026-10-17 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.63%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%11.8%2026-10-17 23:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%14.8%2026-10-17 22:45