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Carolina Hurricanes v Washington Capitals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 56.94%1.76fair odd
EV -0.918%
Edge -0.528%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%56.79%56.96%59.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.681.7463.69%59.63%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Capitals (Visit)
Prediction 43.06%2.32fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.503%
Kelly +0.876%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.81%43.21%43.04%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.212.3547.62%45.14%45.25%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 56.94%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 43.06%. For Washington Capitals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +1.18%E +0.503%K +0.876%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -0.110%E -0.047%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 21:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.971%E -0.422%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.75%E -4.78%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.971%E -0.422%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 14:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.12%E -1.39%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 21:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.55%E -1.59%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 21:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.98%E -1.79%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.85%E -2.19%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.85%E -2.19%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 22:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.33%E -2.58%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.90%E -2.94%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.04%E -3.66%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.28%E -2.40%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.77%E -2.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.14%E -2.82%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.918%E -0.528%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.43%E -3.46%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.63%E -1.54%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 23:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.20%E -1.88%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.60%E -6.75%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -9.58%E -4.56%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.89% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.8% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.89% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.8% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.89% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.8% | 2026-10-02 21:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.89% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.88% | 2.8% | 2026-10-02 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.01% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.48% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 22:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.36% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.63% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 22:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.43% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 21:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.93% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72% | 9.6% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.58% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.06% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 23:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.40% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82% | 12.4% | 2026-10-02 21:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.62% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83% | 13.8% | 2026-10-02 22:45 |