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Carolina Hurricanes v Washington Capitals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 57.89%1.73fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.81%57.95%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.651.651.6964.52%60.44%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Capitals (Visit)
Prediction 42.11%2.37fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.764%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.18%42.19%42.05%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.17%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 57.89%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 42.11%. For Washington Capitals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.17%E -1.29%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.87%E -0.804%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.75%E -1.64%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-13 22:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-13 22:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-13 16:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-13 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.33%E -1.99%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.87%E -0.804%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.87%E -0.804%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -3.91%E -2.36%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.66%E -2.53%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 20:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.03%E -0.439%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 21:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.45%E -0.621%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-13 21:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -1.87%E -0.804%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-13 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 12:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.98%E -1.75%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 22:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 15:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 20:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.24%E -2.33%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 22:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 22:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 16:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.72%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.35%E -3.34%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.40%E -1.94%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.07%E -3.09%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.82%E -2.13%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.80%E -4.23%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.14%E -1.36%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -10.28%E -6.63%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.45%E -4.40%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-13 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-10-13 22:34 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-13 18:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.7% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-10-13 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07% | 3.4% | 2026-10-13 22:50 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 2.9% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 22:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.92% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.38% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 22:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.69% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.70% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 22:42 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.05% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.9% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.92% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15% | 6.2% | 2026-10-13 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.89% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.26% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73% | 7.0% | 2026-10-13 22:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-10-13 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-10-13 16:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.42% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-10-13 20:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41% | 11.2% | 2026-10-13 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.16% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62% | 12.8% | 2026-10-13 22:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.12% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62% | 14.8% | 2026-10-13 22:19 |