Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes v Washington Capitals

2026-10-13 22:55 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 58.44%1.71fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.37%58.46%59.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.641.641.6762.11%61.10%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Capitals (Visit)

Prediction 41.56%2.41fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.45%41.63%41.54%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.3746.51%43.60%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 58.44%; Washington Capitals (Visit): 41.56%. For Washington Capitals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.37, with an expected value of -1.51%; they do not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-12 20:04
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 16:50
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 16:49
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.40%E -1.44%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -3.90%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.92%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -1.92%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 17:34
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -2.75%E -1.18%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-12 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 17:49
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.25%E -2.30%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.57%E -2.16%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.49%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-12 16:09
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.16%E -2.53%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.17%E -1.36%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.16%E -2.53%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.66%E -2.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.74%E -2.91%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.92%E -0.814%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 17:29
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.34%E -0.995%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.34%E -0.995%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 18:14
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.34%E -0.995%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:14
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 18:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 18:14
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -5.32%E -3.29%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -9.82%E -4.52%K -8.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-12 19:27
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.51%E -0.636%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.51%E -0.636%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 18:14
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.00%E -1.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 18:13
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.42%E -1.92%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-12 16:54
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 19:28
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -5.91%E -3.67%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.65%E -4.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 19:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-10-12 17:00
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-12 20:10
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-10-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%7.5%2026-10-12 20:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 58.85%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.15%7.5%2026-10-12 20:15
Smarkets◎1.59I 62.89%NM 57.14%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%10.1%2026-10-12 19:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-10-12 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-10-12 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-10-12 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%2.9%2026-10-12 16:49
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.91%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.66%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.43%3.2%2026-10-12 19:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.91%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.62%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-10-12 19:54
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-12 16:49
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-12 16:49
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-12 16:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-10-12 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.69%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%5.7%2026-10-12 19:29
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.05%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%6.4%2026-10-12 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.71%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%6.7%2026-10-12 19:28
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%8.6%2026-10-12 19:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%10.0%2026-10-12 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%15.7%2026-10-12 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.63%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.37%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.00%16.6%2026-10-12 19:29