L’École des cotes

Carolina Hurricanes v Vegas Golden Knights

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-03 00:25 UTC

Score final : Carolina Hurricanes 4–5 Vegas Golden Knights

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prévision 58.74%1.70cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%58.98%58.69%61.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.6766.67%61.54%61.73%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vegas Golden Knights (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.26%2.42cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +1.83%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.97%41.02%41.31%43.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.322.302.4947.17%43.10%43.48%40.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +2.73%E +1.09%K +1.83%G +0.050%3.1%2026-06-03 00:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV +1.90%E +0.770%K +1.29%G +0.025%2.2%2026-06-03 00:20
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.08%E +0.439%K +0.742%G +0.008%2.9%2026-06-03 00:20
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -0.161%E -0.067%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 00:20
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.987%E -0.411%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-02 23:40
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.987%E -0.411%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-02 23:45
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 00:20
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:20
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 23:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 15:29
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:19
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 23:19
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 00:20
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.29%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 21:29
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 21:40
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 23:30
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 00:20
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 00:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 00:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 23:28
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 00:10
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 00:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 23:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 00:09
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-03 00:08
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -11.88%E -7.92%K -23.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.54%E -5.91%K -11.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-02 16:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-06-03 00:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-03 00:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.14%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.86%0.8%2026-06-03 00:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-03 00:20
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-06-03 00:20
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98%1.4%2026-06-02 23:59
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-06-03 00:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-06-03 00:20

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:49
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:50
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-06-03 00:10
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-06-02 23:19
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.60%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%4.7%2026-06-02 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-06-03 00:10
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-06-02 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-06-02 15:59
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%6.8%2026-06-02 23:49
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%7.2%2026-06-03 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-06-03 00:10
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.7%2026-06-02 22:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-06-03 00:09
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.65%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%12.3%2026-06-02 22:49