La escuela de los momios

Carolina Hurricanes v Vegas Golden Knights

Inicio: 2026-06-03 00:25 UTC

Final: Carolina Hurricanes 4–5 Vegas Golden Knights

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Predicción 58.74%1.70momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.98%58.69%61.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.621.6766.67%61.54%61.73%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vegas Golden Knights (Visitante)

Predicción 41.26%2.42momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.83%
Crecimiento +0.050%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.97%41.02%41.31%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.322.302.4947.17%43.10%43.48%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +2.73%E +1.09%K +1.83%G +0.050%3.1%2026-06-03 00:20
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV +1.90%E +0.770%K +1.29%G +0.025%2.2%2026-06-03 00:20
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.08%E +0.439%K +0.742%G +0.008%2.9%2026-06-03 00:20
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.05%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.95%EV -0.161%E -0.067%K -0.114%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 00:20
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -0.987%E -0.411%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-02 23:40
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.987%E -0.411%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-02 23:45
Pinnacle1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.48%E -1.50%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-03 00:20
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.42%E -3.37%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.22%E -0.938%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:20
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.64%E -1.12%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 23:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 15:29
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 00:19
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-02 23:19
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.15%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.05%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 00:20
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.29%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-03 00:10
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:10
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 00:09
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 21:29
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 21:40
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 23:30
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-03 00:20
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-03 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 00:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.11%E -2.22%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 00:20
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.94%E -2.60%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 00:10
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.66%E -2.23%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 23:28
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 00:10
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.25%E -2.61%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.35%E -2.80%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 00:10
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.83%E -2.98%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.17%E -3.19%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 23:59
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.90%E -1.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-03 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.07%E -1.86%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 00:09
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.01%E -3.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.24%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-03 00:08
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.56%EV -11.88%E -7.92%K -23.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.54%E -5.91%K -11.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-02 16:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-06-03 00:10
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-06-03 00:20
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.14%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.86%0.8%2026-06-03 00:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-06-03 00:20
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-02 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-06-03 00:20
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 58.02%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.98%1.4%2026-06-02 23:59
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-06-03 00:00
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-06-03 00:20

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:49
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:50
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.38%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16%2.8%2026-06-02 22:49
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.90%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-06-03 00:10
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.62%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-06-02 23:19
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.60%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.58%4.7%2026-06-02 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-06-03 00:10
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:49
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%5.3%2026-06-02 22:50
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%5.3%2026-06-02 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-06-02 15:59
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.30%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%6.6%2026-06-02 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.12%6.8%2026-06-02 23:49
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.32%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%7.2%2026-06-03 00:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%7.7%2026-06-03 00:10
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%7.7%2026-06-02 22:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-06-03 00:09
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.65%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.12%12.3%2026-06-02 22:49