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Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 51.74%1.93fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.16%51.98%51.68%53.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.831.8758.14%55.01%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.506%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.51%26.64%27.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7030.77%28.77%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.60%4.63fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.367%
Kelly +0.466%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.57%21.50%21.68%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.444.504.7124.69%22.51%22.22%21.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 51.74%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 26.66%; Draw: 21.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.

14 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -3.76%E -2.02%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%EV -4.83%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.61%EV +1.73%E +0.367%K +0.466%G +0.008%3.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.16%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.57%EV +0.432%E +0.093%K +0.118%G +0.001%4.6%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV -0.648%E -0.141%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV -0.648%E -0.141%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV -0.648%E -0.141%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.52%EV -3.24%E -1.73%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.95%EV -0.648%E -0.141%K -0.180%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -6.34%E -3.50%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.91%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 05:53
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 05:52
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -1.37%E -0.369%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.73%EV -7.38%E -4.12%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-30 23:59
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 05:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.53%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 05:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.71%EV -11.00%E -6.40%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.93%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.86%E -3.81%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 05:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.16%EV -9.45%E -5.40%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.11%EV -12.53%E -3.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 05:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (14)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%3.7%2026-05-01 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%3.9%2026-04-30 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%4.4%2026-05-01 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%4.4%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%4.7%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%4.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%4.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%4.8%2026-04-30 23:59
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%4.8%2026-04-30 23:59
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%5.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%5.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-05-01 04:53
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.11%10.4%2026-04-30 23:59