Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 67.88%1.47fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -2.54%

Kelly -8.59%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.87%67.88%67.88%68.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.411.421.4271.43%70.80%70.67%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 32.12%3.11fair odd

EV -3.64%

Edge -1.21%

Kelly -1.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.89%32.12%32.12%32.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.982.993.003.0033.56%33.42%33.39%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 67.88%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 32.12%. For Carolina Hurricanes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.42, with an expected value of -3.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Paddy Power🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-03 04:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.61%E -2.54%K -8.59%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.64%E -1.21%K -1.82%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-05-03 04:14
FanDuel🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.29%E -3.04%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.29%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-03 04:05
SportsBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.97%E -3.55%K -12.41%G +0.000%	2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -3.97%E -1.33%K -1.99%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-03 04:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%	8.1%	2026-05-03 05:06