Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Carolina Hurricanes (Local)

Prediction 63.32%1.58fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.58%63.32%63.41%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.511.511.5671.94%66.34%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 36.68%2.73fair odd
EV -0.964%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.567%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.68%36.59%38.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.612.602.7041.32%38.28%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 63.32%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 36.68%. For Detroit Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.964%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -1.22%E -0.783%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 03:39
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-28 15:15
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.34%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 14:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 23:49
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 16:00
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 15:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.12%E -2.04%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%2.8%2026-02-28 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.37%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 23:49
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.75%E -2.47%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.30%E -3.32%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 15:24
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 20:09
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 23:34
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.10%E -2.38%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 23:49
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.39%E -2.91%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:04
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:30
BetAnything🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 19:39
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:51
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.90%E -1.49%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 19:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 23:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.63%E -1.78%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 20:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:16
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:50
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.02%E -3.35%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.47%E -2.54%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 23:49
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 23:49
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.65%E -3.79%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.80%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 23:19
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.29%E -4.25%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.964%E -0.357%K -0.567%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.52%EV -11.99%E -8.62%K -30.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.48%EV -11.23%E -4.64%K -7.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%0.2%2026-02-28 22:44
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.64%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.36%0.7%2026-02-28 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-02-28 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-02-28 23:24
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-02-28 23:44
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-02-28 23:19
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-02-28 23:04
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.85%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.15%1.7%2026-02-28 23:44

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-02-28 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-02-28 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%4.0%2026-02-28 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.7%2026-02-28 23:49
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%4.7%2026-02-28 23:54
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%5.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.29%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%5.1%2026-02-28 23:54
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%6.1%2026-02-28 23:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-02-28 23:54
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%7.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%7.9%2026-02-28 23:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%8.4%2026-02-28 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-02-28 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%9.3%2026-02-28 23:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%10.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.24%11.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%11.5%2026-02-28 23:49