La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -1.95%E -1.26%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -3.37%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.58%E -1.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.58%E -1.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -4.84%E -1.87%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -2.58%E -1.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -9.25%E -3.75%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.64%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.64%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.21%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.21%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.31%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.21%E -2.10%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.31%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -6.68%E -2.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.84%E -2.53%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.74%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:54 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.21%E -2.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 23:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.48%E -2.97%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.802%E -0.297%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.64%E -0.996%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Fliff | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.31%E -2.48%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.11%E -3.41%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.74%E -3.85%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.802%E -0.297%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.74%E -3.85%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.802%E -0.297%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -5.74%E -3.85%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -1.54%E -0.573%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -7.01%E -4.77%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -1.54%E -0.573%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.07%E -8.68%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.82%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68% | 2.3% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.87% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87% | 3.9% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.45% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.23% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.99% | 4.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.28% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-04-02 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 23:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12% | 10.2% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.73% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70% | 12.4% | 2026-04-02 23:05 |